disaster
IDN: Drought - 06-2026 - Anticipatory Action: Severe Drought Risk due to El Niño and Positive IOD - Indonesia 2026 (2026-06-09)
By International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies at ReliefWeb
· June 10, 2026
· 6 min read
. Risk Analysis Indonesia is forecasted to experience prolonged dry conditions during the 2026 dry season due to the combined influence of El Niño conditions and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). According to BMKG, the dry season is expected to begin earlier than normal in many regions, with 57.
Key takeaway According to BMKG, the dry season is expected to begin earlier than normal in many regions, with 57.
Why this matters
The anticipated severe drought in Indonesia due to El Niño and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole poses significant threats to the country's most vulnerable populations, including low-income households, rural farming communities, and communities living in drought-prone areas. The projected impacts, such as reduced access to safe water and increased reliance on emergency water supply systems, are likely to exacerbate existing humanitarian concerns. Historical data from PMI's drought response in 2023 highlights the potential scale of the crisis, with over 93 million liters of water distributed across 131 districts and cities. The economic pressure on vulnerable households is also a concern, as rising water and food costs may further exacerbate poverty and food insecurity. As the situation unfolds, it will be crucial to monitor the response efforts of organizations like PMI and the government's request for international assistance, to ensure that aid reaches those most in need and that the humanitarian impacts are mitigated.
About this story
Original reporting by ReliefWeb . Christgiving surfaces reporting from trusted publishers and adds local editorial context so readers can quickly understand what a story means for their community. We attribute every source, link to the original report, and follow a documented editorial standards policy. To understand how stories are selected and reviewed, read our about page .
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Category: disaster ·
Published: June 10, 2026 ·
Source: ReliefWeb ·
Reading time: 6 min
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Frequently asked about this story
What is this story about? . Risk Analysis Indonesia is forecasted to experience prolonged dry conditions during the 2026 dry season due to the combined influence of El Niño conditions and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). According to BMKG, the dry season is expected to begin earlier than normal in many regions, with 57.
When was this published? This article was first published on June 10, 2026 by ReliefWeb and curated for Christgiving readers.
Who reported this story? This story was reported by International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies at ReliefWeb. To learn more about how Christgiving selects and reviews stories, see our editorial standards .
Where can I find related coverage? See more disaster coverage from Christgiving, or browse our daily briefing and topic hubs .