Food insecurity is a growing concern in the Bay and Bakool areas, with a risk of catastrophic levels of food insecurity. This risk is particularly high if the Gu harvest fails for a second consecutive time or if there is extreme flooding. In Buur Hakaba District, the nutrition famine threshold has been crossed, with a high rate of acute malnutrition.

This signals a credible risk of area-level famine. Further details on the situation and potential impacts are available from the World Food Programme's Somalia External Sitrep for July 2026.