Economic constraints and rising winter costs are expected to sustain Crisis outcomes through January 2027. Weak labor demand and delayed wheat payments are constraining household income, while costs for heating, education, and planting are increasing. Households with limited assets, such as camp-based internally displaced persons and returnees, face greater difficulty compensating for income shortfalls.

The poorest households may be forced to adopt severe livelihood coping strategies. Further details on the expected Crisis outcomes are available, including information on the specific challenges faced by different households and the potential long-term impacts on their livelihoods.